What our bots risk together
Every bot in Aleph Edge has its own stop. This page asks the harder question: what happens to all of them at once when Bitcoin falls, and what they would have done in the worst crashes of the last six years.
Stress test: Bitcoin moves in 24 hours
The templates' open bots, with their real ladders, stops and leverage, run through a straight 24-hour move. Each coin moves by its beta to BTC.
● passed or under review. Betas to BTC used: NEAR 2.85 · ENA 2.29 · ZEC 2.24 · 1000PEPE 2.21 · SUI 2.15 · UNI 2.10 · DOGE 1.57 · SOL 1.53 · XRP 1.50 · HYPE 1.28 · ETH 1.27 · BANK 1.11 · BNB 0.97 · AKE 0.89. Bars share one scale across all four moves.
Crash replay
Each template's bots start 7 days before the crash on that month's own coins, then live through it. Click a row to see the hours.
| Window | BTC low | 2 under review | All 12 | All 12 worst point | 7 days later |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2025 liquidation cascade 10 Oct 2025 | −16.5% | +0.7% | −2.4% | −2.8% | −1.5% |
| FTX collapse 8 Nov 2022 | −24.9% | +3.1% | −6.1% | −8.6% | −5.0% |
| LUNA / UST collapse 9 May 2022 | −21.8% | −27.6% | −23.6% | −25.5% | −20.9% |
| 19 May 2021 crash 19 May 2021 | −33.1% | −0.5% | −9.2% | −9.7% | −13.1% |
| 12 Mar 2020 (COVID) crash 12 Mar 2020 | −45.2% | −20.9% | −13.9% | −13.9% | −14.7% |
LUNAUSDT: 1h data ends 2022-05-13T07:00:00+00:00 (bots closed at market at its last bar)
Concentration right now
Capital by template direction
What changed in the app
- Portfolio risk viewon the Risk page: this stress test and crash replay run on your own open bots, a "before → after" line in every bot and trade form, and alerts when one direction or one coin dominates.
- Key safety: Binance keys that can transfer funds are refused (withdrawal keys already were); warnings for keys older than 90 days or without an IP restriction; Ed25519 keys generated inside the app, the private half never leaves the encrypted vault.
- Foreign-trade watch: a fill on your Binance futures account that the app did not make raises an alarm, a Telegram message, and stops new entries on every bot. It ships switched off; turn it on in the Risk page.
- TradingView alerts become paper trades through a private webhook; New trade with take-profit and stop in one form; automatic backup before every update; bot settings export and import.
- A template warns when your pair is outside the coins it was tested on.
- Telegram notifications with opt-in /status and /stop; one clear choice for what a grid does when price leaves its range; templates show the smallest budget they need.
- A DCA take-profit must clear twice the round-trip fees; a warning when two futures bots share one symbol.
- Paper or real money is visible on every bot; the New bot page shows each template's tested result.
How this is computed, and its limits
- The reference book is public: the 12 templates as the ghost track runs them, 1,000 USDT per bot, leverage 1, the same simulator and fees as the template results. No user's portfolio is used.
- The stress move is a straight line with no wicks and no funding. Real crashes wick further, so real losses can be larger.
- Betas come from hourly returns against BTC. The ghost data starts on 6 October, so they rest on about 10 days, not 30.
- Crash windows use each month's own top coins, so windows are not one-to-one comparable.
- Partial data: 2020-03-12 replay: the data.binance.vision USD-M archive starts in January 2020 and most perps listed in Jan-Feb 2020, so the March 2020 universe is ranked on the 29 days of February 2020 instead of 90; only 11 USDT perps traded all of February, so dca_long_alts has 6 bots (ranks 6-11) and the all-12 capital is 57,000 USDT, not 61,000. 2022-05 replay: LUNAUSDT was a top-5 major; its futures data ends 2022-05-13 07:00 UTC (delisted), where the simulator closes those bots at market at the last bar. Stress betas: estimated on ~10 days (243 paired hours), not 30, because the ghost panel only goes back to 2026-10-06.