ALCHUSDT long 4h · 3 Nov 2026

Published 3 Nov 2026, 07:53 UTC · futures · smc_only

Closed by BTC veto · −0.34% net

Levels

Direction	long
Entry	0.03603
Stop	0.03425
Target (graded)	0.03739
Later targets	0.03909 · 0.04368 informational, not graded
Planned reward:risk	0.76x
Management plan	Stop to entry at +0.5R · 100% closes at the first target or the stop
Moves with BTC	moved partly with BTC (0.59), about 32 h behind it, over the last 24 four-hour moves before publish

Execution

how the ledger grades it

Graded exit	take_profit[0], 100%
Stop to entry at	0.03692
Entry window ends	3 Nov 2026, 23:53 UTC
Max hold until	6 Nov 2026, 23:53 UTC
Est. cost	0.12% per trade
Break-even win rate after cost	58.1%

Signal DNA

12 engines

Evidence score	76 / 100 (a tally, not a probability)
Engine agreement	5 of 8 directional engines point long
Combo	Stophunt Snap
Regime at scan	Bull

Engines that scored this signal
Engine	Score (0 to 1)	Direction
Fair Value Gap	0.11	short
Liquidity Sweep	0.66	long
Liquidity Pools	0.40	short
Inducement	0.51	long
Breaker Block	0.01	short
Zones	0.75	long
Stop-Hunt Probability	0.90	long
Pump / Dump Combination	0.90	long
HMM Regime	0.57	none
Kalman Filter	0.87	none
Ricci Flow	0.67	none
CONFIRMATION	0.93	none

BTC context and veto

Veto reason	btc regime turn bearish
Vetoed at	3 Nov 2026, 08:41 UTC
Trigger	BTC trend turned and held
BTC price	$76,538
BTC trend	bearish (strength 0.27)
BTC 1 h change	−0.38%
Trend held	60 min of 60 required

Outcome

inside the 96 h guard

Result	Closed by BTC veto
Entry filled	3 Nov 2026, 07:54 UTC
Exit	3 Nov 2026, 08:42 UTC at 0.03595
Gross move	−0.22%
Cost deducted	0.12%
Net of fees	−0.34%

How we grade · JSON

Latest 20 published signals

Updated 3 Nov 2026, 09:31 UTC

Published: 10; since 3 Nov 2026, 00:00 Zurich · 1 open
Target · stop, matured: 0 · 0; n=0 decided past the 96 h guard · 0 break-even
Net after fees: −0.58% per trade; over n=10 entered positions, 10 closed by BTC veto included · sum −5.78 points · without veto closes 0.00% per trade, sum 0.00 points over n=0 · a sum is not an account return

Latest published signals with entry, stop, first target and result
Published	Signal	Entry	Stop	Target 1	Result	Net
3 Nov 2026, 07:53 UTC	ALCHUSDT long 4h	0.03603	0.03425	0.03739	Closed by BTC veto	−0.34%
3 Nov 2026, 07:50 UTC	ACTUSDT long 4h	0.00837	0.00775036	0.00881614	Closed by BTC veto	−1.39%
3 Nov 2026, 07:50 UTC	XMRUSDT long 4h	627.66	603.46	649.44	Closed by BTC veto	−1.15%
3 Nov 2026, 07:49 UTC	TAUSDT long 4h	0.06367	0.060395	0.066323	Closed by BTC veto	−0.03%
3 Nov 2026, 07:49 UTC	STABLEUSDT long 4h	0.02713	0.025701	0.028159	Closed by BTC veto	−0.60%
3 Nov 2026, 07:48 UTC	WLFIUSDT long 4h	0.0509	0.049489	0.052093	Closed by BTC veto	−0.20%
3 Nov 2026, 07:48 UTC	TRXUSDT long 4h	0.3213	0.312586	0.3273	Closed by BTC veto	−0.11%
3 Nov 2026, 07:48 UTC	STRAXUSDT long 4h	0.01037	0.00993607	0.010636	Closed by BTC veto	−0.30%
3 Nov 2026, 07:44 UTC	FLUIDUSDT long 4h	1.844	1.7336	1.9235	Closed by BTC veto	+0.21%
3 Nov 2026, 07:41 UTC	ALPINEUSDT long 4h	0.299	0.282214	0.309273	Closed by BTC veto	−1.87%
2 Nov 2026, 12:50 UTC	CTRUSDT long 4h	0.014064	0.013174	0.014364	Target	+2.01%
2 Nov 2026, 12:46 UTC	PIEVERSEUSDT long 4h	1.0582	0.983807	1.1118	Closed by BTC veto	−0.99%
2 Nov 2026, 12:46 UTC	FOLKSUSDT long 4h	2.217	2.1343	2.2676	Break-even	−0.12%
2 Nov 2026, 12:45 UTC	XLMUSDT long 4h	0.1679	0.162793	0.171111	Closed by BTC veto	−0.68%
2 Nov 2026, 12:43 UTC	INJUSDT long 4h	7.206	6.7437	7.3352	Closed by BTC veto	−2.84%
2 Nov 2026, 12:42 UTC	APTUSDT long 4h	0.633	0.607089	0.6669	Closed by BTC veto	−1.56%
2 Nov 2026, 12:20 UTC	CATIUSDT long 4h	0.04128	0.038366	0.043378	Closed by BTC veto	+0.19%
2 Nov 2026, 12:07 UTC	LUMIAUSDT long 4h	0.0794	0.074811	0.082704	Closed by BTC veto	+0.05%
2 Nov 2026, 12:05 UTC	FLUIDUSDT long 4h	1.805	1.7036	1.8671	Target	+3.32%
2 Nov 2026, 12:02 UTC	JSTUSDT long 4h	0.14004	0.13732	0.141996	Closed by BTC veto	−1.15%

Net = gross move minus the cost of the signal's market. Spot 0.20% fees per trade, no funding. Futures 0.10% fees plus 0.02% funding, paid by a long and received by a short. How we grade · CSV export · JSON